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South Caucasus

Nagorno-Karabakh: New Opening, or More Peril?

Europe Report N°239, 4 July 2016

nagorno-karabakh-4jul16

Fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan in early April killed up to 200 people, forcing international attention back to resolving the generation-old Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The time has come for a decisive push for progress in the peace talks. Both sides are on an unprecedented war footing, and any new clashes risk dragging outside parties into a wider war.

Recent Reports

Nagorno-Karabakh: New Opening, or More Peril?, Europe Report N°239, 4 Jul 2016

Fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan in early April killed up to 200 people, forcing international attention back to resolving the generation-old Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The time has come for a decisive push for progress in the peace talks. Both sides are on an unprecedented war footing, and any new clashes risk dragging outside parties into a wider war.

Armenia and Azerbaijan: A Season of Risks, Europe Briefing N°71, 26 Sep 2013

Stronger international engagement is needed to help prevent the deadly conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan from escalating gravely at a time of internal political tensions in both. русский

Abkhazia: The Long Road to Reconciliation, Europe Report N°224, 10 Apr 2013

More than two decades after the Soviet Union’s collapse, the three-sided conflict involving breakaway Abkhazia, Georgia and Russia is far from a solution so all should concentrate on achievable goals, including intensified dialogue on basic security-related and humanitarian issues.

Georgia: Making Cohabitation Work, Europe Briefing N°69, 18 Dec 2012

Whether the smooth transfer of power Georgia achieved after October’s bitter election sets a standard for democracy in its region depends on whether the new government can strengthen the independence and accountability of state institutions in what remains a fragile, even potentially explosive political climate.

Armenia: An Opportunity for Statesmanship, Europe Report N°217, 25 Jun 2012

Unless Armenia’s next presidential election is fair and gives its winner a strong political mandate, the government will lack the legitimacy needed to implement comprehensive reforms, tackle corruption and negotiate a peaceful end to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.

Tackling Azerbaijan’s IDP Burden, Europe Briefing N°67, 27 Feb 2012

As negotiations between Azerbaijan and Armenia to resolve the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh stall, the Azerbaijan government has improved living conditions for the internally displaced (IDPs), though return to the occupied territories remains by far the preferred solution.

русский

Georgia-Russia: Learn to Live like Neighbours, Europe Briefing N°65, 8 Aug 2011

On the third anniversary of their war over South Ossetia, talks between Georgia and Russia are needed to create positive momentum in a still unstable environment.

русский

Georgia: The Javakheti Region’s Integration Challenges, Europe Briefing N°63, 23 May 2011

To ensure political stability and that there is no opportunity for Russia or others to manipulate local politics, Georgia needs to improve integration of its mostly Armenian-populated Javakheti region.

Armenia and Azerbaijan: Preventing War, Europe Briefing N°60, 8 Feb 2011

Escalating front-line clashes, a spiralling arms race, vitriolic rhetoric and a virtual breakdown in peace talks increase the chance Armenia and Azerbaijan will go back to war over Nagorno-Karabakh, with devastating regional consequences.

русский

Armenia and Azerbaijan: Preventing War, Europe Briefing N°60, 8 Feb 2011

Escalating front-line clashes, a spiralling arms race, vitriolic rhetoric and a virtual breakdown in peace talks increase the chance Armenia and Azerbaijan will go back to war over Nagorno-Karabakh, with devastating regional consequences.

русский
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Commentary

A 'Frozen Conflict' That Could Boil Over


The International Herald Tribune, 8 Mar 2012

A Moment for Peace in the South Caucasus


The International Herald Tribune , 24 Jun 2011
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More commentary

Video

International Crisis Group at Work: South Caucasus
15 Jan 2012: Lawrence Sheets, South Caucasus Project Director, talks about International Crisis Group's work in the South Caucasus, promoting communication across the lines of the region's most intractable conflicts.